Adria Soriano Barrera vs Marc Polmans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto Challenger Men Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans
Result
2:1
28/07/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
93
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
69%64%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (42/55)59% (29/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (10/25)59% (16/27)
Break Points Saved
82% (9/11)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
41% (20/49)24% (13/55)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (11/27)60% (15/25)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)18% (2/11)
Winners
3417
Unforced Errors
3625
Net Points Won
71% (10/14)65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
65% (52/80)59% (45/76)
Return Points Won
41% (31/76)35% (28/80)
Total Points Won
53% (83/156)47% (73/156)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Adria Soriano Barrera
59.3%
Marc Polmans
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adria Soriano Barrera's form might have worsened.
  • Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marc Polmans's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adria Soriano Barrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marc Polmans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.36)

    2.29
    (2.9)
    7.4%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 308. Polmans is ranked ATP: 434.
    • Soriano Barrera is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Polmans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Soriano Barrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Soriano Barrera might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soriano Barrera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans were as follows:
    15.08.2023 Marc Polmans - Adria Soriano Barrera 2:0
    Latest results of Marc Polmans
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Faria J. (1)Ymer E.1 : 2
    2Karatsev A.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    3Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (SE)Soto M.1 : 1
    4Araujo P. (WC)Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    5Huesler M. (3)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    6Sultanov K.Echargui M. (Q)1 : 2
    7Butvilas E.Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    8Soriano Barrera A. (Q)van Assche L. (8)0 : 2
    9Maestrelli F. (6)Torres T. (Q)2 : 1
    10Loffhagen G.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 1
    11McKennon M. (Q)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    12Escoffier A.Merida Aguilar D. (4)2 : 0
    13Rocha H. (5)Searle H. (Q)2 : 0
    14Albot R. (Alt)Coulibaly E.0 : 2
    15Cui J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    16Elias G. (WC)Landaluce M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E.Kukushkin M.2 : 1
    2Soto M.Grenier H. (7)0 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F.Echargui M.0 : 2
    4Butvilas E.van Assche L. (8)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (6)Loffhagen G.2 : 0
    6Pereira T.Escoffier A.1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (5)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    8Moro Canas A.Landaluce M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E.Grenier H. (7)1 : 2
    2Echargui M.Butvilas E.2 : 1
    3Maestrelli F. (6)Escoffier A.2 : 0
    4Rocha H. (5)Moro Canas A.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Grenier H. (7)Echargui M.0 : 2
    2Maestrelli F. (6)Moro Canas A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Echargui M.Maestrelli F. (6)2 : 0