Result
0:2
03/01/2026 at 20:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (33/50) | 75% (38/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 58% (22/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (14/51) | 36% (18/50) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 35% (9/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 29% (2/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (50/76) | 67% (58/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (28/86) | 34% (26/76) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (78/162) | 52% (84/162) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Alex Bolt
70% | Marc Polmans
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-2%)
Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.34) |
|
3.11 ↓
(3.24) |
7.3%
(5.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Bolt is ranked ATP: 171. Polmans is ranked ATP: 396.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Bolt is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Bolt won against Marc Polmans?
Alex Bolt has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marc Polmans won against Alex Bolt?
Marc Polmans has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans were as follows:
12.11.2025
Marc Polmans
-
Alex Bolt
0:2
Latest results of Alex Bolt
Latest results of Marc Polmans
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Nishikori K. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. (Q) | Klein L. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Blockx A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Barrios Vera T. (4) | Sekulic P. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Blanchet U. | Rocha H. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | McCabe J. (WC) | Lajal M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pinnington Jones J. (Q) | Holt B. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Lajovic D. (8) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Mejia N. (Q) | Engel J. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Galan D. E. | Neumayer L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Jacquet K. | Nishioka Y. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Moller E. (7) | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Jodar R. (Q) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Shimabukuro S. | Winter E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Rodesch C. (Q) | Nardi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Klein L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Carballes Baena R. | Blockx A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barrios Vera T. (4) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | McCabe J. | Pinnington Jones J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lajovic D. (8) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Galan D. E. | Jacquet K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Faria J. | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Shimabukuro S. | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Blockx A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Barrios Vera T. (4) | McCabe J. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lajovic D. (8) | Jacquet K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jodar R. | Shimabukuro S. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (6) | McCabe J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jacquet K. (RET.) | Jodar R. | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (6) | Jodar R. | 2 : 0 |
