Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 59% (32/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 50% (14/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/6 | 2/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 32% (16/50) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 41% (11/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/7 | 2/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (50/77) | 55% (44/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (36/80) | 35% (27/77) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (86/157) | 45% (71/157) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 15% (2/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 41% (11/27) |
Chances of winning
Marc Polmans
63.1% | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.51) |
|
2.53 ↑
(2.43) |
7.1%
(7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gonzalez Fernandez will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Polmans is ranked ATP: 362. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 589.
- Polmans has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Gonzalez Fernandez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Polmans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Polmans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Marc Polmans won against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez?
Marc Polmans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mario Gonzalez Fernandez won against Marc Polmans?
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marc Polmans - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez were as follows:
Latest results of Marc Polmans
Latest results of Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Huesler M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pacheco Mendez R. (Alt) | Ayeni A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zhukayev B. | Vandecasteele Q. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Krueger M. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Wong C. (4) | Mejia N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kozlov S. | Martin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Polmans M. (Q) | Mena F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Crawford O. | Rodesch C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mochizuki S. (5) | Smith K. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Ficovich J. P. | Alves M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Catry R. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bu Y. (7) | Wiskandt M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Galarneau A. | Tobon M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Magadan A. (WC) | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pavlovic L. | Walton A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Duckworth J. (1) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Vandecasteele Q. | Gojo B. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mejia N. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Polmans M. | Rodesch C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mochizuki S. (5) | Ficovich J. P. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Andrade A. | Schoolkate T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bu Y. (7) | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Magadan A. | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Gojo B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mejia N. | Rodesch C. (RET.) (6) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Galarneau A. | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Mejia N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ficovich J. P. | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Gojo B. (8) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 0 |
