Marc Polmans vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Playford 2 Challenger Men Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
2:1
24/10/2024 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2 (Australia), hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
67%68%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (39/60)64% (36/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (12/29)42% (11/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
36% (20/56)35% (21/60)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (15/26)59% (17/29)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
57% (51/89)57% (47/82)
Return Points Won
43% (35/82)43% (38/89)
Total Points Won
50% (86/171)50% (85/171)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Marc Polmans
40.6%
Shintaro Mochizuki
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marc Polmans's form might have worsened.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Polmans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.9)

    1.59
    (1.82)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Polmans is ranked ATP: 231. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 245.
    • Polmans is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Mochizuki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Polmans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Polmans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki 0:2
    Latest results of Marc Polmans
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Hijikata R. (1)Hudd E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ellis B.Sweeny D.0 : 2
    3Langmo C.Marinkov P. (Q)2 : 1
    4Kumasaka T.Jasika O. (7)0 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (4)Delaney Ja. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bradshaw J.Bouzige M. (WC)1 : 2
    7Imamura M.Sinclair C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Winter E. (WC)Fancutt T. J. (LL)0 : 2
    9Polmans M. (8)Tkemaladze Z. (Q)2 : 1
    10Ichikawa T. (Q)Imai S.0 : 2
    11Matsuda R. (Q)Rai A.2 : 1
    12Bakshi A.Mochizuki S. (3)0 : 2
    13Tu L. (6)Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    14Sekulic P.Colson T.2 : 0
    15Mott B.Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    16Shiraishi H.Mochizuki Y. (LL)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Hijikata R. (1)Sweeny D.2 : 0
    2Langmo C.Jasika O. (7)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (4)Bouzige M.2 : 0
    4Imamura M.Fancutt T. J.2 : 0
    5Polmans M. (8)Imai S.2 : 1
    6Matsuda R.Mochizuki S. (3)0 : 2
    7Tu L. (6)Sekulic P.2 : 0
    8Shimizu Y.Mochizuki Y.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Hijikata R. (1)Jasika O. (7)2 : 1
    2Schoolkate T. (4)Imamura M.1 : 2
    3Polmans M. (8)Mochizuki S. (3)2 : 1
    4Tu L. (6)Shimizu Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hijikata R. (1)Imamura M.2 : 1
    2Polmans M. (8)Shimizu Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Hijikata R. (1)Shimizu Y.2 : 0