Marc Van Der Merwe vs Jonas Pelle Hartenstein – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 12, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
44

Chances of winning


Marc Van Der Merwe
48.8%
Jonas Pelle Hartenstein
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marc Van Der Merwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marc Van Der Merwe's form might have worsened.
  • Jonas Pelle Hartenstein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonas Pelle Hartenstein's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Van Der Merwe than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Van Der Merwe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Pelle Hartenstein than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonas Pelle Hartenstein, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marc Van Der Merwe - Jonas Pelle Hartenstein Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.62)

    1.8
    (2.17)
    8.6%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Van Der Merwe is ranked ATP: 991. Hartenstein is ranked ATP: 1234.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hartenstein may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Van Der Merwe could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Marc Van Der Merwe
    Latest results of Jonas Pelle Hartenstein