Result
1:2
16/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) - Qualification, clay - Final
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 84% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (60/96) | 76% (57/75) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 47% (14/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (19/75) | 38% (36/96) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 50% (9/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 38% (5/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (69/114) | 67% (68/102) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (34/102) | 39% (45/114) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (103/216) | 52% (113/216) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 31% (5/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 53% (17/32) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
57.1% | Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-4%)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.62) |
|
2.24 ↓
(2.28) |
4.2%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 87. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 138.
- Ugo Carabelli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Barrios Vera is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera were as follows:
29.11.2024
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
2:1
18.10.2024
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
2:0
10.10.2023
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Canceled
22.01.2023
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shevchenko A. | Meligeni Alves F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Heide G. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | Jarry N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (4) | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Darderi L. | Dellien H. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (SE) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Baez S. (5) | Burruchaga R. A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Navone M. | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Diaz Acosta F. | Monteiro T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Tabilo A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Martinez P. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Lajovic D. | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Munar J. | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | Faria J. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Comesana F. | Jarry N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (4) | Darderi L. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Muller A. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Baez S. (5) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Tseng C. H. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Munar J. | Faria J. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (4) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. (5) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Comesana F. | Muller A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (5) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Muller A. | Baez S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
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