Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Daniel Altmaier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Altmaier
Result
2:1
23/09/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
49
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
63%59%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (46/67)70% (50/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (21/39)52% (26/50)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
31% (22/71)31% (21/67)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (24/50)46% (18/39)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)38% (3/8)
Max Points In Row
66
Service Points Won
63% (66/105)62% (75/121)
Return Points Won
38% (46/121)37% (39/105)
Total Points Won
50% (112/226)50% (114/226)
Max Games In Row
32
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
39.5%
Daniel Altmaier
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Altmaier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Altmaier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Altmaier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2)

    1.54
    (1.73)
    7.1%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Altmaier?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Altmaier will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 159. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 83.
    • Barrios Vera is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Altmaier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Altmaier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Altmaier will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2