Manchego vs Marchamalo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 88', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Manchego
64.9%
Draw
23.4%
Marchamalo
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 29.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 29.3% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchego's performance.
  • Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marchamalo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchego that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marchamalo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manchego - Marchamalo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.86)
    4.07
    (3.08)
    8.18
    (4.15)
    4.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Manchego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marchamalo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Manchego is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchego - Marchamalo were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Manchego - Marchamalo 2:0
    22.04.2023 Manchego - Marchamalo 3:1
    08.01.2023 Marchamalo - Manchego 3:1
    Latest results of Manchego
    19.10.2025 Azuqueca - Manchego 1:4
    11.10.2025 Manchego - Villarrubia 1:1
    04.10.2025 Tarancón - Manchego 1:2
    27.09.2025 Manchego - Pedroñeras 2:1
    Latest results of Marchamalo
    19.10.2025 Marchamalo - Villarrobledo 1:1
    12.10.2025 Albacete B - Marchamalo 2:1
    04.10.2025 Marchamalo - La Solana 1:1
    20.09.2025 Marchamalo - Cazalegas 3:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo23156238:122651
    2Tarancon23155343:172650
    3Puertollano C.F23146333:141948
    4Ciudad Real23133739:221742
    5Albacete B23119331:141742
    6Villacanas23117524:131140
    7Villarrubia23115730:22838
    8San Clemente2388724:27-332
    9Guadalajara B2387821:22-131
    10Marchamalo23851029:29029
    11La Solana2369816:21-527
    12Villarrobledo2368920:28-826
    13Huracan de Balazote23821325:35-1026
    14Illescas23581016:27-1123
    15Azuqueca232101116:28-1216
    16Pedroneras232101119:35-1616
    17Sonseca23261516:49-3312
    18Cazalegas23261512:37-2512

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation