Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Manchego 64.9% | Draw 23.4% | Marchamalo 11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchego's performance.Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marchamalo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchego that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marchamalo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manchego - Marchamalo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.86) |
4.07 ↑ (3.08) |
8.18 ↑ (4.15) |
4.8% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- Manchego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marchamalo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Manchego is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchego won against Marchamalo?
Manchego has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marchamalo won against Manchego?
Marchamalo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchego - Marchamalo were as follows:
19.10.2024
Manchego
-
Marchamalo
2:0
22.04.2023
Manchego
-
Marchamalo
3:1
08.01.2023
Marchamalo
-
Manchego
3:1
Latest results of Manchego
Latest results of Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toledo | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 38:12 | 26 | 51 |
| 2 | Tarancon | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Puertollano C.F | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 48 |
| 4 | Ciudad Real | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39:22 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Albacete B | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | Villacanas | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 40 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Guadalajara B | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | La Solana | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Villarrobledo | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 | Huracan de Balazote | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Illescas | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16:27 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Pedroneras | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 16 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16:49 | -33 | 12 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12:37 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
Relegation