Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Gea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
71%45%
1st serve points won
74% (35/47)61% (17/28)
2nd serve points won
74% (14/19)59% (20/34)
Break Points Saved
5/55/7
1st return points won
39% (11/28)26% (12/47)
2nd return points won
41% (14/34)26% (5/19)
Break Points Converted
2/70/5
Winners
2816
Unforced errors
1827
Net points won
100% (11/11)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
73% (47/64)60% (37/62)
Return Points Won
40% (25/62)27% (17/64)
Total Points Won
57% (72/126)43% (54/126)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
04
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Marco Cecchinato
34.1%
Arthur Gea
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Marco Cecchinato - Arthur Gea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.55)

    1.42
    (1.45)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Cecchinato - Arthur Gea?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cecchinato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gea will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 225. Gea is ranked ATP: 161.
    • Cecchinato is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    12.03.2026 Sean Cuenin - Arthur Gea Cuenin S. retired
    05.03.2026 Calvin Hemery - Arthur Gea 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)