Marco Cecchinato vs Jozef Kovalik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik
Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
59%61%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (26/42)72% (31/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)67% (18/27)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
28% (12/43)38% (16/42)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (9/27)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
58% (41/71)70% (49/70)
Return Points Won
30% (21/70)42% (30/71)
Total Points Won
44% (62/141)56% (79/141)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Marco Cecchinato
46.4%
Jozef Kovalik
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Cecchinato's form might have worsened.
  • Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.77)

    1.73
    (2.01)
    7.9%
    (6.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cecchinato will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Kovalik will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 278. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 552.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cecchinato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)(Q/LL)
    2Choinski J.Sachko V.2 : 0
    3Pavlovic L.(Q/LL)
    4Passaro F.Lajovic D. (6)2 : 1
    5Tirante T. A. (4)(Q/LL)
    6Dodig M. (Alt)(Q/LL)
    7Monteiro T.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    8Gaubas V.Burruchaga R. A. (8)
    9Galan D. E. (7)Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)
    10Feldbausch K. (SE)(Q/LL)
    11Ymer E. (Alt)Kopp S. (WC)0 : 2
    12(Q/LL)Carballes Baena R. (3)
    13Carreno-Busta P. (5)Neumayer L.
    14Sorger S. (WC)Kym J.
    15(Q/LL)Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)
    16Seyboth Wild T.Kopriva V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Choinski J.
    2TBD #3Passaro F.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Monteiro T.TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Kopp S.TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2