Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
67%52%
1st serve points won
82% (36/44)65% (30/46)
2nd serve points won
45% (10/22)45% (19/42)
Break Points Saved
1/38/14
1st return points won
43% (20/46)18% (8/44)
2nd return points won
55% (23/42)55% (12/22)
Break Points Converted
6/142/3
Winners
3124
Unforced errors
2329
Net points won
74% (14/19)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
70% (46/66)52% (44/84)
Return Points Won
48% (40/84)30% (20/66)
Total Points Won
57% (86/150)43% (64/150)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
04
Service games won
83% (10/12)54% (7/13)
Return games won
46% (6/13)17% (2/12)
Total games won
64% (16/25)36% (9/25)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
53%
Marco Cecchinato
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.
  • Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.
  • The ML Model estimate for Marco Trungelliti aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Marco Cecchinato aligns with the current prediction.
  • Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.58)

    1.99
    (2.28)
    6.6%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marco Cecchinato will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 225.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Trungelliti might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato were as follows:
    08.11.2022 Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato 2:0
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1