Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago Monteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Modena Challenger Men Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro
Result
2:1
01/07/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
71
1st Serve Percentage
57%69%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (39/52)66% (40/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (22/40)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
34% (21/61)33% (17/52)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (16/28)45% (18/40)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)25% (2/8)
Winners
2734
Unforced Errors
2642
Net Points Won
50% (5/10)77% (10/13)
Service Points Won
66% (61/92)58% (51/88)
Return Points Won
42% (37/88)34% (31/92)
Total Points Won
54% (98/180)46% (82/180)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Marco Cecchinato
53.3%
Thiago Monteiro
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Cecchinato's performance.
  • Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Monteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Cecchinato that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.2)

    1.99
    (1.62)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 437. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 143.
    • Cecchinato is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Monteiro is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cecchinato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Cecchinato will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro were as follows:
    01.03.2023 Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro 1:2
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Geerts M.2 : 0
    2Parenti L. (WC)Kym J.0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (WC)Monteiro T.2 : 1
    4Houkes M.Gomez F. A. (8)2 : 0
    5Seyboth Wild T. (4)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Kodat T. (Q)Collarini A.2 : 1
    7Sakellaridis S. (Q)Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Echargui M. (Q)Boyer T. (5)2 : 0
    9Burruchaga R. A. (7)Merida Aguilar D. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Cina F. (Alt)Poljicak M.2 : 1
    11Zahraj P.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    12Dodig M. (NG)Cerundolo J. M. (3)0 : 2
    13Tirante T. A. (6)Buse I.2 : 0
    14Travaglia S. (Q)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    15Pellegrino A.Thanos A. (Q)2 : 0
    16Arnaboldi F.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Kym J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Houkes M.2 : 0
    3Seyboth Wild T. (4)Kodat T.2 : 0
    4Sakellaridis S.Echargui M.2 : 1
    5Merida Aguilar D.Cina F.0 : 2
    6Diaz Acosta F.Cerundolo J. M. (3)0 : 2
    7Tirante T. A. (6)Travaglia S.1 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Galan D. E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kym J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Seyboth Wild T. (4)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    3Cina F.Cerundolo J. M. (3)2 : 1
    4Travaglia S.Pellegrino A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Kym J.Seyboth Wild T. (4)1 : 2
    2Cina F.Travaglia S.1 : 2

    Final
    1Seyboth Wild T. (4)Travaglia S.0 : 2