Marco Cecchinato vs Thiago Monteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro
Result
0:2
23/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
69%61%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (35/60)80% (35/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (20/27)71% (20/28)
Break Points Saved
89% (8/9)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
20% (9/44)42% (25/60)
2nd Return Points Won
29% (8/28)26% (7/27)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)11% (1/9)
Service Points Won
64% (55/86)76% (55/72)
Return Points Won
24% (17/72)36% (31/86)
Total Points Won
46% (72/158)54% (86/158)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
92% (11/12)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)8% (1/12)
Total Games Won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Marco Cecchinato
45.3%
Thiago Monteiro
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.83)

    1.76
    (1.83)
    6.6%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 275. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 170.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cecchinato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro were as follows:
    01.07.2025 Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro 2:1
    01.03.2023 Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro 1:2
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2