Marco Trungelliti vs Ignacio Buse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse
Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 12:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
71
1st Serve Percentage
64%58%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (39/65)53% (32/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (17/36)66% (29/44)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
47% (28/60)40% (26/65)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (15/44)53% (19/36)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
55% (55/100)58% (60/103)
Return Points Won
42% (43/103)45% (45/100)
Total Points Won
48% (98/203)52% (105/203)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
37%
Ignacio Buse
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 65.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.34)

    1.5
    (1.52)
    6.9%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Buse will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 143. Buse is ranked ATP: 116.
    • Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Buse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse 0:2
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.