Result
1:2
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (41/64) | 65% (41/63) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 51% (21/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 36% (23/64) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 57% (32/56) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 31% (5/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (65/120) | 60% (62/104) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (42/104) | 46% (55/120) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (107/224) | 52% (117/224) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Marco Trungelliti
54.6% | Jan Choinski
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.79) |
|
2.03 ↑
(1.95) |
6.8%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Choinski will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jan Choinski will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 149. Choinski is ranked ATP: 200.
- Trungelliti is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Choinski has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trungelliti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Jan Choinski?
Marco Trungelliti has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Marco Trungelliti?
Jan Choinski has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Jan Choinski were as follows:
02.06.2025
Marco Trungelliti
-
Jan Choinski
2:1
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Bax F. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Martineau M. | Paire B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Michalski D. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Rolland de Ravel C. (Q) | Reis Da Silva J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Choinski J. (3) | Papamalamis T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Djuric B. (Q) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Gea A. | Barrere G. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Mayot H. (Q) | Tabur C. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Giustino L. (8) | Lamasine T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Visker N. (Q) | Gombos N. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Berrettini J. | Rosenkranz M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Faurel T. (WC) | Skatov T. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Sharipov M. (7) | Barranco Cosano J. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Zink T. | Sels J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Ymer M. (RET.) (Q) | Brunold M. | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Ivanovski K. (PR) | Hemery C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martineau M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Rolland de Ravel C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Choinski J. (3) | Djuric B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gea A. | Mayot H. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Lamasine T. | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Berrettini J. | Faurel T. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Barranco Cosano J. | Sels J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Brunold M. | Hemery C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Choinski J. (3) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gombos N. | Berrettini J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Barranco Cosano J. | Hemery C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Choinski J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Berrettini J. | Hemery C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Choinski J. (3) | Hemery C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
