Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 03:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (35/50) | 76% (38/50) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 39% (14/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (13/50) | 30% (15/50) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 54% (25/46) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 40% (4/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (56/96) | 60% (52/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (34/86) | 42% (40/96) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (90/182) | 51% (92/182) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 50% (14/28) |
Chances of winning
Marco Trungelliti
27.1% | Luca Nardi
72.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.54) |
|
1.28 ↓
(1.45) |
7.1%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Nardi will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luca Nardi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 131. Nardi is ranked ATP: 94.
- Trungelliti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nardi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nardi is the team to beat.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Luca Nardi?
Marco Trungelliti has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Marco Trungelliti?
Luca Nardi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi were as follows:
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Latest results of Luca Nardi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Zhang Z. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Echargui M. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nardi L. (LL) | Lehecka J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Shang J. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Hassan B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. | Brooksby J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Shevchenko A. (LL) | Khachanov K. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (5) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Humbert U. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Halys Q. (Q) | Draper J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Mensik J. (6) | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Virtanen O. (Q) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. (LL) | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (3) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brooksby J. | Khachanov K. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (5) | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Rinderknech A. | Draper J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Mensik J. (6) | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. | Bublik A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Lehecka J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Medvedev D. (3) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (5) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mensik J. (6) | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Medvedev D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (5) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Medvedev D. (WO.) (3) | Griekspoor T. | |
