Marco Trungelliti vs Marin Cilic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic
Result
1:2
10/04/2025 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
48
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
53%55%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (29/46)74% (31/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (20/40)66% (23/35)
Break Points Saved
69% (9/13)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (14/42)41% (19/46)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (12/35)50% (20/40)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)31% (4/13)
Service Points Won
57% (49/86)70% (54/77)
Return Points Won
30% (23/77)43% (37/86)
Total Points Won
44% (72/163)56% (91/163)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
36% (9/25)64% (16/25)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
28.3%
Marin Cilic
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.85)

    1.3
    (1.37)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 167. Cilic is ranked ATP: 117.
    • Recent matches Trungelliti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cilic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cilic is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Cilic to win the game is with odds 1.31.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    Latest results of Marin Cilic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2