Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
62
1st serve percentage
62%57%
1st serve points won
73% (44/60)67% (34/51)
2nd serve points won
51% (19/37)64% (25/39)
Break Points Saved
7/96/9
1st return points won
35% (18/51)27% (16/60)
2nd return points won
36% (14/39)49% (18/37)
Break Points Converted
3/92/9
Winners
3218
Unforced errors
4332
Net points won
65% (13/20)57% (8/14)
Service Points Won
65% (63/97)66% (59/89)
Return Points Won
34% (30/89)35% (34/97)
Total Points Won
50% (93/186)50% (93/186)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
87% (13/15)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
60%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marco Trungelliti - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.66)

    2.35
    (2.1)
    6.4%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Trungelliti (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Marco Trungelliti will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 76. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 139.
    • Trungelliti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Budkov Kjaer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2