Marco Trungelliti vs Pol Martin Tiffon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/03/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
16
1st serve percentage
69%52%
1st serve points won
90% (28/31)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
57% (8/14)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
0/04/7
1st return points won
31% (10/32)10% (3/31)
2nd return points won
53% (16/30)43% (6/14)
Break Points Converted
3/70/0
Winners
1312
Unforced errors
2236
Net points won
86% (6/7)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
80% (36/45)58% (36/62)
Return Points Won
42% (26/62)20% (9/45)
Total Points Won
58% (62/107)42% (45/107)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
63.7%
Pol Martin Tiffon
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pol Martin Tiffon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.53)

    2.58
    (2.37)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 254.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Trungelliti is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon were as follows:
    08.10.2025 Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon Martin Tiffon P. retired
    10.12.2023 Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon 2:0
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Pol Martin Tiffon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1