Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	6
Double Faults
0	4
1st Serve Percentage
57%	52%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (33/54)	74% (23/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (25/41)	55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)	0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
26% (8/31)	39% (21/54)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (13/29)	39% (16/41)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)	17% (1/6)
Winners
12	28
Unforced Errors
23	49
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)	78% (18/23)
Service Points Won
61% (58/95)	65% (39/60)
Return Points Won
35% (21/60)	39% (37/95)
Total Points Won
51% (79/155)	49% (76/155)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)	80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)	9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)	43% (9/21)

Chances of winning

Marcos Giron
34.1%

Denis Shapovalov
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.03)		1.44 ↑ (1.39)	5.6% (4.9%)

What is the prediction for Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35% – 88%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Giron is ranked ATP: 46. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Giron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Marcos Giron won against Denis Shapovalov?

Marcos Giron has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Marcos Giron?

Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:

27.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron 2:1

07.01.2025 Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov 2:0

02.04.2024 Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov 2:0

Latest results of Marcos Giron

20.03.2025 Jordan Thompson - Marcos Giron 2:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Marcos Giron - Arthur Fils 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Casper Ruud - Marcos Giron 1:2 ✺

05.03.2025 Marcos Giron - Nikoloz Basilashvili 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

24.03.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺

10.03.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton 2:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2