Maria Kalyakina vs Yuyao Li – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W15 Luan 3 Women Maria Kalyakina - Yuyao Li
Result
2:1
30/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
33

Chances of winning


Maria Kalyakina
46.3%
Yuyao Li
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Kalyakina's form might have worsened.
  • Yuyao Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuyao Li's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Kalyakina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuyao Li than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuyao Li, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maria Kalyakina - Yuyao Li Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.55)

    1.85
    (2.36)
    0.6%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 761. Li is ranked WTA: 1452.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kalyakina might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Maria Kalyakina
    Latest results of Yuyao Li
    24.07.2025 Eunhye Lee - Yuyao Li 2:0
    08.07.2025 Feier Hu - Yuyao Li 2:0
    02.07.2025 Yuyao Li - Sofya Lansere 0:2
    02.07.2025 Yuyao Li - Liuyan An 2:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Zhang Y. (1)Zhang J.2 : 1
    2Wan E.Kim C.0 : 2
    3Arifullina A.Yoshioka K.2 : 1
    4Hu F.Yuan C. (5)0 : 2
    5Han J. (4)Xiao Z.2 : 0
    6Tang Q.Goto R.2 : 0
    7Chen M.Wong J.2 : 0
    8RuoXi M.Huang Yujia (8)0 : 2
    9Aikawa M. (6)Wang J.0 : 2
    10Lin Y.Smith A.1 : 2
    11Liu Z.Zhang Z. Y.0 : 2
    12Gao D.Sato N. (3)0 : 2
    13Kalyakina M. (7)Li Y.2 : 1
    14Shao Y.Choi O.2 : 0
    15Zhao X.Qu Y.0 : 2
    16Cho S.Guo M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zhang Y. (1)Kim C.2 : 0
    2Arifullina A.Yuan C. (5)2 : 0
    3Han J. (4)Tang Q.2 : 1
    4Chen M.Huang Yujia (8)2 : 1
    5Wang J.Smith A.2 : 0
    6Zhang Z. Y.Sato N. (3)0 : 2
    7Kalyakina M. (7)Shao Y.2 : 1
    8Qu Y.Guo M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zhang Y. (1)Arifullina A.2 : 0
    2Han J. (4)Chen M.0 : 2
    3Wang J.Sato N. (3)1 : 2
    4Kalyakina M. (7)Guo M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zhang Y. (RET.) (1)Chen M.0 : 1
    2Sato N. (3)Guo M. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Chen M.Guo M. (2)0 : 2