Cristina Bucsa vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats


Aces
0	0
Double Faults
2	5
1st Serve Percentage
65%	77%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (26/39)	52% (29/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (10/21)	41% (7/17)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)	54% (7/13)
1st Return Points Won
50% (28/56)	33% (13/39)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (10/17)	52% (11/21)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)	80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
59% (35/59)	48% (35/73)
Return Points Won
52% (38/73)	41% (24/59)
Total Points Won
55% (73/132)	45% (59/132)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	2
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)	45% (5/11)
Return Games Won
55% (6/11)	36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)	41% (9/22)

Chances of winning

Cristina Bucsa
74.7%

Maria Lourdes Carle
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cristina Bucsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cristina Bucsa's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cristina Bucsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cristina Bucsa - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.53)		3.73 ↑ (2.28)	6% (9.2%)

What is the prediction for Cristina Bucsa - Maria Lourdes Carle?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bucsa will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucsa: 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bucsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Bucsa is ranked WTA: 67. Carle is ranked WTA: 129.
Bucsa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Carle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Carle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bucsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bucsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Cristina Bucsa won against Maria Lourdes Carle?

Cristina Bucsa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Maria Lourdes Carle won against Cristina Bucsa?

Maria Lourdes Carle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cristina Bucsa - Maria Lourdes Carle were as follows:

25.08.2022 Maria Lourdes Carle - Cristina Bucsa 1:2

Latest results of Cristina Bucsa

22.09.2025 Cristina Bucsa - Clervie Ngounoue 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa 2:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa 1:2 ✺

27.08.2025 Cristina Bucsa - Alexandra Eala 2:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Cristina Bucsa - Claire Liu 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle

22.09.2025 Yufei Ren - Maria Lourdes Carle 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Jessika Ponchet - Maria Lourdes Carle 2:0 ✺

11.09.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Jessica Pieri 1:2 ✺

08.09.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Yidi Yang 2:0 ✺

04.09.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Yuan Y. (WC)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
3	Li A.	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (28)
5	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
6	Boisson L.	Galfi D. (Q)	2 : 1
7	Sramkova R.	Ruse G.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Navarro E. (16)
9	Osaka N. (12)	Bye
10	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Tjen J. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Seidel E. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Kostyuk M. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (30)	Bye
14	Vekic D.	Bucsa C. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Tomljanovic A.	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Pegula J. (5)
17	Andreeva M. (4)	Bye
18	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zhu L. (WC)	0 : 2
19	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Cristian J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Yastremska D. (29)
21	Shnaider D. (17)	Bye
22	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.	0 : 2
23	Kartal S.	Parks A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
25	Tauson C. (10)	Bye
26	Sonmez Z.	Wei S. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Siniakova K.	Potapova A.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Mboko V. (21)
29	Noskova L. (26)	Bye
30	Guo H. (WC)	Wang Xiy. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Lamens S.	Arango E. (LL)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Zheng Q. (7)
33	Paolini J. (6)	Bye
34	Sevastova A.	Birrell K.	2 : 0
35	Kudermetova P.	Inglis M. (Q)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Kenin S. (27)
37	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bye
38	Bondar A. (Q)	Andreescu B.	2 : 0
39	Maria T.	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Linette M. (33)
41	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
42	Dolehide C.	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
43	Jacquemot E. (Q)	Ruzic A.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Badosa P. (18)
45	Wang Xin. (31)	Bye
46	Zakharova A. (Q)	Zhang S. (WC)	1 : 2
47	Boulter K.	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Anisimova A. (3)
49	Rybakina E. (8)	Bye
50	Siegemund L.	McNally C.	0 : 2
51	Zhang R. (WC)	Lys E.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Jovic I. (32)
53	Mertens E. (20)	Bye
54	Kessler M.	Shi H. (WC)	2 : 0
55	Krejcikova B.	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Alexandrova E. (9)
57	Bencic B. (15)	Bye
58	Volynets K. (Q)	Stearns P.	2 : 1
59	Hon P. (Q)	Golubic V.	2 : 1
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (22)
61	Fernandez L. (25)	Bye
62	Krueger A.	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
63	Bronzetti L.	Rakhimova K.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Gauff C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Yuan Y.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Kalinskaya A. (28)	2 : 1
3	Samsonova L. (19)	Boisson L.	0 : 2
4	Ruse G.	Navarro E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Osaka N. (12)	Sasnovich A.	1 : 2
6	Seidel E.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (30)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
8	Tomljanovic A.	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
9	Andreeva M. (4)	Zhu L.	2 : 0
10	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Yastremska D. (29)	2 : 0
11	Shnaider D. (17)	Joint M.	0 : 2
12	Kartal S.	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
13	Tauson C. (10)	Sonmez Z.	1 : 2
14	Potapova A.	Mboko V. (21)	2 : 0
15	Noskova L. (26)	Wang Xiy.	2 : 0
16	Arango E.	Zheng Q. (7)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (6)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
18	Kudermetova P.	Kenin S. (27)	0 : 2
19	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
20	Bouzkova M.	Linette M. (33)	2 : 0
21	Muchova K. (13)	Cirstea S.	2 : 0
22	Ruzic A.	Badosa P. (18)	0 : 2
23	Wang Xin. (31)	Zhang S.	0 : 2
24	Boulter K.	Anisimova A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Rybakina E. (8)	McNally C.	2 : 1
26	Lys E.	Jovic I. (32)	2 : 1
27	Mertens E. (20)	Kessler M.	0 : 2
28	Krejcikova B.	Alexandrova E. (9)	2 : 0
29	Bencic B. (15)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
30	Hon P.	Ostapenko J. (22)	2 : 0
31	Fernandez L. (25)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
32	Rakhimova K.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Osorio C. (RET.)	1 : 0
2	Boisson L. (RET.)	Navarro E. (16)	0 : 1
3	Sasnovich A.	Kostyuk M. (23)	0 : 2
4	Raducanu E. (30)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
5	Andreeva M. (4)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
6	Joint M.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
7	Sonmez Z.	Potapova A.	0 : 2
8	Noskova L. (26)	Zheng Q. (RET.) (7)	1 : 1
9	Paolini J. (6)	Kenin S. (27)	2 : 0
10	Kudermetova V. (24)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
11	Muchova K. (13)	Badosa P. (RET.) (18)	0 : 0
12	Zhang S.	Anisimova A. (3)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (8)	Lys E.	1 : 2
14	Kessler M.	Krejcikova B. (RET.)	1 : 1
15	Bencic B. (15)	Hon P.	2 : 1
16	Fernandez L. (25)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Navarro E. (16)	1 : 2
2	Kostyuk M. (23)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (4)	Kartal S.	1 : 2
4	Potapova A.	Noskova L. (26)	0 : 2
5	Paolini J. (6)	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
6	Muchova K. (13)	Anisimova A. (3)	1 : 2
7	Lys E.	Kessler M.	2 : 1
8	Bencic B. (15)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Navarro E. (16)	Pegula J. (5)	1 : 2
2	Kartal S.	Noskova L. (26)	0 : 2
3	Paolini J. (6)	Anisimova A. (3)	1 : 2
4	Lys E.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Pegula J. (5)	Noskova L. (26)	1 : 2
2	Anisimova A. (3)	Gauff C. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Noskova L. (26)

Anisimova A. (3)

1 : 2