Maria Lourdes Carle vs Katarina Jokic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
74
1st Serve Percentage
61%57%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (20/28)43% (9/21)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (7/18)19% (3/16)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)40% (4/10)
1st Return Points Won
57% (12/21)32% (9/28)
2nd Return Points Won
81% (13/16)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
59% (27/46)32% (12/37)
Return Points Won
68% (25/37)41% (19/46)
Total Points Won
63% (52/83)37% (31/83)
Last 10 Balls
100
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)14% (1/7)
Return Games Won
86% (6/7)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Maria Lourdes Carle
78.1%
Katarina Jokic
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.
  • Katarina Jokic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katarina Jokic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarina Jokic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarina Jokic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle - Katarina Jokic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.36)

    4.26
    (2.9)
    6.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carle is ranked WTA: 137. Jokic is ranked WTA: 315.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Carle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carle is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Katarina Jokic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Riera J.2 : 0
    2Trevisan M.Vedder E.0 : 2
    3Papamichail D.Akli A. (Q)2 : 1
    4Vazquez C. (WC)Dolehide C. (5)0 : 2
    5Oliynykova O. (4)Nahimana S.2 : 0
    6Perez Alarcon L. (WC)Mandlik E.2 : 0
    7Lepchenko V.Pigossi L.2 : 0
    8Pieri J.Chwalinska M. (8)0 : 2
    9Carle M. L. (7)Jokic K. (Q)2 : 0
    10Burillo Escorihuela I.Bulgaru M.0 : 2
    11Sorribes Tormo S. (Q)Herrero Linana A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Alves C.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2
    13Erjavec V. (6)Bulbarella M. (WC)2 : 0
    14Hercog P.Ortenzi J.1 : 2
    15Monnet C.Samson L.1 : 2
    16Giovannini L. (WC)Jeanjean L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Vedder E.2 : 0
    2Papamichail D.Dolehide C. (5)0 : 2
    3Oliynykova O. (RET.) (4)Perez Alarcon L.0 : 1
    4Lepchenko V.Chwalinska M. (8)2 : 1
    5Carle M. L. (7)Bulgaru M.0 : 2
    6Sorribes Tormo S.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2
    7Erjavec V. (6)Ortenzi J.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Giovannini L.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Dolehide C. (5)2 : 1
    2Perez Alarcon L.Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    3Bulgaru M.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2
    4Erjavec V. (6)Samson L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    2Udvardy P. (3)Erjavec V. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Lepchenko V.Udvardy P. (3)0 : 2