Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kristina Mladenovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Florianopolis Challenger Women Maria Lourdes Carle - Kristina Mladenovic
Result
2:1
04/12/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
911
1st Serve Percentage
70%59%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (34/57)49% (30/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
25% (6/24)24% (10/42)
Break Points Saved
61% (11/18)45% (9/20)
1st Return Points Won
51% (31/61)40% (23/57)
2nd Return Points Won
76% (32/42)75% (18/24)
Break Points Converted
55% (11/20)39% (7/18)
Service Points Won
49% (40/81)39% (40/103)
Return Points Won
61% (63/103)51% (41/81)
Total Points Won
56% (103/184)44% (81/184)
Last 10 Balls
100
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
42% (5/12)15% (2/13)
Return Games Won
85% (11/13)58% (7/12)
Total Games Won
64% (16/25)36% (9/25)

Chances of winning


Maria Lourdes Carle
78.6%
Kristina Mladenovic
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.
  • Kristina Mladenovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kristina Mladenovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristina Mladenovic than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kristina Mladenovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle - Kristina Mladenovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.36)

    4.4
    (2.85)
    6.7%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle - Kristina Mladenovic?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carle is ranked WTA: 89. Mladenovic is ranked WTA: 213.
    • Carle is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Mladenovic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Carle is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Tkacheva M. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mladenovic K.Arango E.2 : 1
    3Fullana L. (WC)Kawa K.0 : 2
    4Kulikova A. (Q)Pigossi L. (5)0 : 2
    5Semenistaja D. (4)Fossa Huergo N.0 : 2
    6Papamichail D.Capurro Taborda M. (WC)2 : 1
    7Shymanovich I.Vergara Rivera A. (WC)2 : 0
    8In-Albon Y. (Q)Udvardy P. (6)2 : 0
    9Jeanjean L. (8)Lodikova D.2 : 0
    10Stojanovic N.Candiotto A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Strakhova V.Bulgaru M.2 : 1
    12Alves C.Riera J. (3)2 : 0
    13Chwalinska M. (7)Fita Boluda A.2 : 0
    14Ibragimova A. (Q)Oliynykova O.0 : 2
    15Makarova E. (RET.)Jorge F.1 : 1
    16Maristany G.Sherif M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Mladenovic K.2 : 1
    2Kawa K.Pigossi L. (5)2 : 0
    3Fossa Huergo N.Papamichail D.2 : 1
    4Shymanovich I.In-Albon Y.0 : 2
    5Jeanjean L. (8)Stojanovic N.2 : 0
    6Strakhova V.Alves C.2 : 0
    7Chwalinska M. (7)Oliynykova O.2 : 0
    8Jorge F.Sherif M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Kawa K.2 : 0
    2Fossa Huergo N.In-Albon Y.0 : 2
    3Jeanjean L. (8)Strakhova V.2 : 0
    4Chwalinska M. (7)Sherif M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)In-Albon Y.1 : 2
    2Jeanjean L. (8)Chwalinska M. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1In-Albon Y.Chwalinska M. (7)0 : 2