Result
2:0
02/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 49% (20/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 32% (8/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 45% (5/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 37% (10/27) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 44% (11/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 25% (1/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 43% (29/68) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (39/68) | 37% (20/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (73/122) | 40% (49/122) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 25% (2/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 14% (1/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 20% (3/15) |
Chances of winning
Maria Lourdes Carle
82.9% | Xinxin Yao
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.Xinxin Yao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinxin Yao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinxin Yao than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xinxin Yao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Maria Lourdes Carle - Xinxin Yao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↓
(1.32) |
|
5.47 ↑
(3.26) |
6.6%
(6.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle - Xinxin Yao?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carle is ranked WTA: 125. Yao is ranked WTA: 281.
- In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Yao has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Carle is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Maria Lourdes Carle won against Xinxin Yao?
Maria Lourdes Carle has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Xinxin Yao won against Maria Lourdes Carle?
Xinxin Yao has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Lourdes Carle - Xinxin Yao were as follows:
Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle
Latest results of Xinxin Yao
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Carle M. L. (1) | Yao X. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ren Y. (WC) | Yang Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zheng W. | You X. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shi H. | Timofeeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gao X. (4) | Friedsam A-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Paquet C. | Kudashova D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Zhang Y. (RET.) (WC) | Charaeva A. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Kulambayeva Z. | Wei S. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Tararudee L. (5) | Guo M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Chang H. | Pieri J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Ma Y. | Liang E. S. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Monnet C. | Erjavec V. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Hontama M. (6) | Reyngold E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Diyas Z. (RET.) | Zhao C. | 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Serban R. | Saito S. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Gasanova A. | Garland J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Carle M. L. (1) | Yang Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | You X. | Timofeeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gao X. (4) | Paquet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Charaeva A. | Kulambayeva Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Tararudee L. (5) | Pieri J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ma Y. | Erjavec V. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Reyngold E. | Zhao C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Saito S. | Garland J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Carle M. L. (1) | Timofeeva M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gao X. (4) | Charaeva A. (WO.) | |
| 3 | Tararudee L. (5) | Erjavec V. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Reyngold E. | Garland J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Timofeeva M. (8) | Charaeva A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Erjavec V. (3) | Reyngold E. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Timofeeva M. (8) | Erjavec V. (3) | 0 : 2 |
