Maria Mateas vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cancun Challenger Women Maria Mateas - Varvara Lepchenko
Result
1:2
11/02/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Cancun (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
16
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
70%61%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (36/64)69% (35/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (15/28)59% (19/32)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/51)44% (28/64)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (13/32)46% (13/28)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
55% (51/92)65% (54/83)
Return Points Won
35% (29/83)45% (41/92)
Total Points Won
46% (80/175)54% (95/175)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Maria Mateas
38.1%
Varvara Lepchenko
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Mateas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Mateas than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Maria Mateas - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.26)

    1.51
    (1.57)
    6.9%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mateas is ranked WTA: 250. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 124.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Mateas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Lepchenko will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mateas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    Latest results of Maria Mateas
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Shymanovich I.0 : 2
    2Preston T.Rodriguez V. (WC)2 : 1
    3Jovic I.Vickery S.0 : 2
    4Bolsova Zadoinov A.Jones F. (8)0 : 2
    5Stakusic M. (4)Zhao C.2 : 0
    6Osuigwe W. (Q)Arango E.0 : 2
    7Burillo Escorihuela I.Janicijevic S. (LL)0 : 2
    8Mateas M.Lepchenko V. (5)1 : 2
    9Sierra S. (7)Tig P. M.2 : 0
    10Riera J. (LL)Koevermans A.1 : 2
    11Hinojosa Gomez J. (WC)Sieg M. (WC)0 : 2
    12Chang H.Joint M. (3)1 : 2
    13Shibahara E. (6)Branstine C. (Q)1 : 2
    14Davis L. (Q)Vedder E. (Q)2 : 1
    15Pigossi L.Kawa K.1 : 2
    16Chirico L.Carle M. L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Shymanovich I.Preston T.2 : 1
    2Vickery S.Jones F. (8)0 : 2
    3Stakusic M. (4)Arango E.0 : 2
    4Janicijevic S.Lepchenko V. (5)2 : 0
    5Sierra S. (7)Koevermans A.2 : 0
    6Sieg M.Joint M. (3)0 : 2
    7Branstine C.Davis L.2 : 0
    8Kawa K.Chirico L.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Shymanovich I.Jones F. (8)0 : 2
    2Arango E.Janicijevic S.2 : 0
    3Sierra S. (7)Joint M. (3)1 : 2
    4Branstine C.Kawa K.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Jones F. (8)Arango E.1 : 2
    2Joint M. (3)Branstine C.0 : 2

    Final
    1Arango E.Branstine C.2 : 0