Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/02/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
63%57%
1st serve points won
75% (27/36)48% (15/31)
2nd serve points won
57% (12/21)57% (13/23)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
52% (16/31)25% (9/36)
2nd return points won
43% (10/23)43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
68% (39/57)53% (28/53)
Return Points Won
47% (25/53)32% (18/57)
Total Points Won
58% (64/110)42% (46/110)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Maria Sakkari
37.5%
Jasmine Paolini
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.
  • Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.23)

    1.53
    (1.67)
    4.9%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paolini will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jasmine Paolini will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakkari is ranked WTA: 52. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sakkari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paolini might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari 2:0
    27.04.2025 Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    21.02.2024 Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini 0:2
    Latest results of Maria Sakkari
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Tjen J. (WC)Haddad Maia B. (LL)2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E. (16)0 : 2
    5Noskova L. (9)Joint M.2 : 0
    6Siegemund L.Gracheva V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByePaolini J. (6)
    9Anisimova A. (3)Bye
    10Sierra S. (LL)Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Valentova T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cristian J.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (12)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Kalinskaya A.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    16ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Zakharova A. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    19Raducanu E. (RET.)Osorio C. (Q)1 : 1
    20Siniakova K.Tauson C. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (13)Frech M. (LL)1 : 2
    22Li A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    23Cocciaretto E. (LL)Jacquemot E. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Kartal S. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    27Stearns P. (WC)Zvonareva V. (Q)1 : 2
    28Bouzkova M.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (15)Parks A. (Q)1 : 2
    30Zheng Q.Kenin S.2 : 1
    31Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    32ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Tjen J.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Mertens E. (16)2 : 0
    3Noskova L. (9)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    4Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)Pliskova Ka.1 : 1
    6Valentova T.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (12)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Svitolina E. (7)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    10Osorio C.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    11Frech M.Li A.0 : 2
    12Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)2 : 0
    13Andreeva M. (5)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Zvonareva V.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Parks A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    16Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    2Gracheva V.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    3Pliskova Ka. (RET.)Muchova K. (14)0 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    5Ostapenko J.Osorio C.2 : 0
    6Li A.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    2Muchova K. (14)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Mboko V. (10)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakkari M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2

    Final
    1Muchova K. (14)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0