Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
16
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
61%74%
1st serve points won
52% (17/33)63% (33/52)
2nd serve points won
33% (7/21)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
37% (19/52)48% (16/33)
2nd return points won
50% (9/18)67% (14/21)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
46% (24/52)60% (42/70)
Return Points Won
40% (28/70)54% (28/52)
Total Points Won
43% (52/122)57% (70/122)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
44% (4/9)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)56% (5/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Varvara Gracheva
32.9%
Maria Sakkari
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 68.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Gracheva's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Sakkari's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.36)

    1.42
    (1.49)
    5.1%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Sakkari will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sakkari: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Gracheva (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4 Games - Gracheva (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Maria Sakkari will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 3 - 50%). Sakkari (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gracheva is ranked WTA: 73. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 52.
    • Gracheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sakkari has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sakkari will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari were as follows:
    27.05.2024 Maria Sakkari - Varvara Gracheva 1:2
    10.05.2024 Maria Sakkari - Varvara Gracheva 2:0
    08.02.2023 Maria Sakkari - Varvara Gracheva 2:0
    Latest results of Maria Sakkari
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Tjen J. (WC)Haddad Maia B. (LL)2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E. (16)0 : 2
    5Noskova L. (9)Joint M.2 : 0
    6Siegemund L.Gracheva V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByePaolini J. (6)
    9Anisimova A. (3)Bye
    10Sierra S. (LL)Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Valentova T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cristian J.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (12)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Kalinskaya A.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    16ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Zakharova A. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    19Raducanu E. (RET.)Osorio C. (Q)1 : 1
    20Siniakova K.Tauson C. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (13)Frech M. (LL)1 : 2
    22Li A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    23Cocciaretto E. (LL)Jacquemot E. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Kartal S. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    27Stearns P. (WC)Zvonareva V. (Q)1 : 2
    28Bouzkova M.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (15)Parks A. (Q)1 : 2
    30Zheng Q.Kenin S.2 : 1
    31Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    32ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Tjen J.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Mertens E. (16)2 : 0
    3Noskova L. (9)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    4Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)Pliskova Ka.1 : 1
    6Valentova T.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (12)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Svitolina E. (7)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    10Osorio C.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    11Frech M.Li A.0 : 2
    12Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)2 : 0
    13Andreeva M. (5)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Zvonareva V.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Parks A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    16Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    2Gracheva V.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    3Pliskova Ka. (RET.)Muchova K. (14)0 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    5Ostapenko J.Osorio C.2 : 0
    6Li A.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    2Muchova K. (14)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Mboko V. (10)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakkari M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2

    Final
    1Muchova K. (14)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0