Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Changsha Challenger Women Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva
Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
71%73%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (28/48)55% (22/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (9/20)27% (4/15)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
1st Return Points Won
45% (18/40)42% (20/48)
2nd Return Points Won
73% (11/15)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
55% (37/67)47% (26/55)
Return Points Won
53% (29/55)45% (30/67)
Total Points Won
54% (66/122)46% (56/122)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)40% (4/10)
Return Games Won
60% (6/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Maria Timofeeva
54%
Alina Charaeva
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Timofeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.67)

    2.07
    (2.07)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva?
  • Users Predictions: Maria Timofeeva will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 191. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 194.
    • Timofeeva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Charaeva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charaeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Maria Timofeeva
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    03.09.2025 Xin Gao - Alina Charaeva Charaeva A. walkover
    01.09.2025 Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva Zhang Y. retired
    22.08.2025 Alina Charaeva - Xiyu Wang 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yao X.2 : 0
    2Ren Y. (WC)Yang Y. (WC)1 : 2
    3Zheng W.You X. (WC)0 : 2
    4Shi H.Timofeeva M. (8)0 : 2
    5Gao X. (4)Friedsam A-L.2 : 0
    6Paquet C.Kudashova D. (Q)2 : 0
    7Zhang Y. (RET.) (WC)Charaeva A.0 : 1
    8Kulambayeva Z.Wei S. (7)2 : 1
    9Tararudee L. (5)Guo M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Chang H.Pieri J. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ma Y.Liang E. S.2 : 1
    12Monnet C.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    13Hontama M. (6)Reyngold E. (Q)0 : 2
    14Diyas Z. (RET.)Zhao C.0 : 0
    15Serban R.Saito S.1 : 2
    16Gasanova A.Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yang Y.2 : 0
    2You X.Timofeeva M. (8)0 : 2
    3Gao X. (4)Paquet C.2 : 1
    4Charaeva A.Kulambayeva Z.2 : 0
    5Tararudee L. (5)Pieri J.2 : 0
    6Ma Y.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    7Reyngold E.Zhao C.2 : 0
    8Saito S.Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Timofeeva M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gao X. (4)Charaeva A. (WO.)
    3Tararudee L. (5)Erjavec V. (3)1 : 2
    4Reyngold E.Garland J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Timofeeva M. (8)Charaeva A.2 : 0
    2Erjavec V. (3)Reyngold E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Timofeeva M. (8)Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2