Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Linz - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
61%52%
1st serve points won
74% (35/47)71% (24/34)
2nd serve points won
43% (13/30)56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
5/84/7
1st return points won
29% (10/34)26% (12/47)
2nd return points won
44% (14/32)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
3/73/8
Service Points Won
62% (48/77)65% (42/65)
Return Points Won
35% (23/65)38% (29/77)
Total Points Won
50% (71/142)50% (71/142)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
77% (10/13)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)23% (3/13)
Total games won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Maria Timofeeva
49.7%
Alina Charaeva
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Timofeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Timofeeva's form might have worsened.
  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Charaeva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Timofeeva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.58)

    1.86
    (2.24)
    7.1%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Timofeeva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 153. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 129.
    • Timofeeva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charaeva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Timofeeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Timofeeva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva 2:0
    Latest results of Maria Timofeeva
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Bye
    2Stephens S. (WC)Maria T.2 : 1
    3Parks A.Galfi D.0 : 2
    4Kraus S. (WC)Cirstea S. (5)0 : 2
    5Ostapenko J. (4)Bye
    6Grabher J.Eala A.0 : 2
    7Boulter K.Ruse G.0 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Li A. (7)2 : 1
    9Cristian J. (6)Korpatsch T. (Q)1 : 2
    10Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    11Badosa P. (WC)Tagger L. (WC)0 : 2
    12ByeSamsonova L. (3)
    13Kalinina A. (LL)Udvardy P.2 : 1
    14Volynets K. (Q)Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    15Pliskova Ka.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Stephens S.2 : 0
    2Galfi D. (RET.)Cirstea S. (5)0 : 0
    3Ostapenko J. (4)Eala A.2 : 0
    4Ruse G.Yastremska D.2 : 1
    5Korpatsch T.Potapova A.0 : 2
    6Tagger L.Samsonova L. (3)2 : 0
    7Kalinina A.Vekic D. (WO.)
    8Pliskova Ka.Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Cirstea S. (5)2 : 1
    2Ostapenko J. (4)Ruse G.1 : 2
    3Potapova A.Tagger L.2 : 0
    4Vekic D.Pliskova Ka.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Andreeva M. (1)Ruse G.2 : 0
    2Potapova A.Vekic D.2 : 0

    Final
    1Andreeva M. (1)Potapova A.2 : 1