Maria Timofeeva vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
45
1st serve percentage
66%64%
1st serve points won
69% (24/35)45% (20/44)
2nd serve points won
33% (6/18)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)50% (6/12)
1st return points won
55% (24/44)31% (11/35)
2nd return points won
64% (16/25)67% (12/18)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
57% (30/53)43% (29/68)
Return Points Won
57% (39/68)43% (23/53)
Total Points Won
57% (69/121)43% (52/121)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Return games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Maria Timofeeva
65.2%
Maria Lourdes Carle
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Timofeeva's performance.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Timofeeva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Lourdes Carle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.62)

    2.69
    (2.23)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - Carle (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 154. Carle is ranked WTA: 155.
    • Timofeeva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carle has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Timofeeva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Timofeeva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle were as follows:
    04.09.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva 1:2
    10.10.2024 Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle 2:1
    Latest results of Maria Timofeeva
    Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2Boulter K.TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Arango E.Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2