Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Changsha Challenger Women Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva
Result
1:2
04/09/2025 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
61%74%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (35/56)57% (49/86)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (14/36)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
59% (10/17)71% (12/17)
1st Return Points Won
43% (37/86)38% (21/56)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (16/30)61% (22/36)
Break Points Converted
29% (5/17)41% (7/17)
Service Points Won
52% (51/98)54% (71/132)
Return Points Won
46% (61/132)48% (47/98)
Total Points Won
49% (112/230)51% (118/230)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
59% (10/17)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)41% (7/17)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Maria Lourdes Carle
50.4%
Maria Timofeeva
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 45.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Timofeeva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.6)

    1.9
    (2.19)
    6.5%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Timofeeva will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 1 - 50%). Timofeeva (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carle is ranked WTA: 125. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 191.
    • In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Timofeeva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carle could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva were as follows:
    10.10.2024 Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle 2:1
    Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle
    Latest results of Maria Timofeeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yao X.2 : 0
    2Ren Y. (WC)Yang Y. (WC)1 : 2
    3Zheng W.You X. (WC)0 : 2
    4Shi H.Timofeeva M. (8)0 : 2
    5Gao X. (4)Friedsam A-L.2 : 0
    6Paquet C.Kudashova D. (Q)2 : 0
    7Zhang Y. (RET.) (WC)Charaeva A.0 : 1
    8Kulambayeva Z.Wei S. (7)2 : 1
    9Tararudee L. (5)Guo M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Chang H.Pieri J. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ma Y.Liang E. S.2 : 1
    12Monnet C.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    13Hontama M. (6)Reyngold E. (Q)0 : 2
    14Diyas Z. (RET.)Zhao C.0 : 0
    15Serban R.Saito S.1 : 2
    16Gasanova A.Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yang Y.2 : 0
    2You X.Timofeeva M. (8)0 : 2
    3Gao X. (4)Paquet C.2 : 1
    4Charaeva A.Kulambayeva Z.2 : 0
    5Tararudee L. (5)Pieri J.2 : 0
    6Ma Y.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    7Reyngold E.Zhao C.2 : 0
    8Saito S.Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Timofeeva M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gao X. (4)Charaeva A. (WO.)
    3Tararudee L. (5)Erjavec V. (3)1 : 2
    4Reyngold E.Garland J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Timofeeva M. (8)Charaeva A.2 : 0
    2Erjavec V. (3)Reyngold E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Timofeeva M. (8)Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2