Mariano Kestelboim vs David Jorda Sanchis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
80%63%
1st Serve Points Won
43% (22/51)66% (19/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (7/13)65% (11/17)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
34% (10/29)57% (29/51)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (6/17)46% (6/13)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
45% (29/64)65% (30/46)
Return Points Won
35% (16/46)55% (35/64)
Total Points Won
41% (45/110)59% (65/110)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
24.2%
David Jorda Sanchis
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Kestelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Kestelboim's form might have worsened.
  • David Jorda Sanchis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Jorda Sanchis's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (+20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Kestelboim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Jorda Sanchis than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for David Jorda Sanchis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mariano Kestelboim - David Jorda Sanchis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.62
    (2.06)

    1.48
    (1.7)
    -10.6%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 393. Jorda Sanchis is ranked ATP: 445.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Jorda Sanchis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mariano Kestelboim
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A. (Q)0 : 2
    2Torres J. B. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    3Habib H.Vallejo D.2 : 0
    4Kolar Z.Barrios Vera T. (6)0 : 2
    5Burruchaga R. A. (4)Cecchinato M. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Gomez F. A.Varillas J. P. (WC)1 : 2
    7Kestelboim M. (Q)Kicker N. (Q)0 : 2
    8Guillen Meza A.Boyer T. (8)2 : 1
    9Gaubas V. (7)Bueno G.0 : 2
    10Roncadelli F. (Q)Barrena A.0 : 2
    11Gakhov I. (Alt)Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (WC)2 : 1
    12Skatov T.Garin C. (3)0 : 2
    13Buse I. (5)Tobon M. (JR)2 : 1
    14Reis Da Silva J.Midon L.2 : 0
    15Villanueva G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    16Olivieri G. A.Taberner C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Dellien Velasco M. A.Torres J. B.1 : 2
    2Habib H.Barrios Vera T. (6)1 : 2
    3Burruchaga R. A. (4)Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    4Kicker N.Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    5Bueno G.Barrena A.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Garin C. (3)0 : 2
    7Buse I. (5)Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    8Villanueva G.Olivieri G. A.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Torres J. B.Barrios Vera T. (6)1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A. (4)Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    3Bueno G.Garin C. (3)2 : 1
    4Reis Da Silva J.Olivieri G. A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (6)Guillen Meza A.2 : 0
    2Bueno G.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Barrios Vera T. (6)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 0