Mariano Kestelboim vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hagen Challenger Men Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler
Result
1:2
29/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
89
Double Faults
47
1st Serve Percentage
66%58%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (48/67)72% (41/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (17/34)57% (24/42)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/57)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (18/42)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)33% (2/6)
Winners
3140
Unforced Errors
3449
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
64% (65/101)66% (65/99)
Return Points Won
34% (34/99)36% (36/101)
Total Points Won
50% (99/200)51% (101/200)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
30.6%
Joel Schwaerzler
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 72.3%

Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.05
(3.2)

1.34
(1.31)
7.3%
(7.6%)
Preview Facts
  • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 395. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354.
  • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Schwaerzler is seen as the favorite.
  • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Draw
Singles - Main

1/16-finals
1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Mikrut L. (Q)2 : 0
2Engel J.Masur D. (WC)0 : 2
3Blanch D. (LL)Negritu Ch.1 : 2
4Villanueva G. (Q)Den Ouden G. (6)0 : 2
5Kym J. (4)Coppejans K.2 : 0
6Reis Da Silva J.Cecchinato M. (Alt)0 : 2
7Sanchez Jover C.Nagal S. (Alt)0 : 2
8McDonald N. (WC)Rodionov J. (9)2 : 0
9Choinski J. (5)Giustino L.2 : 1
10Popko D.Matusevich A. (Q)2 : 1
11Skatov T.Donski A. (Q)2 : 0
12Hara Friend J. D. (CO)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
13Hassan B. (8)Tabur C.0 : 2
14Wallin O. (Q)Schoenhaus M. (WC)2 : 0
15Kestelboim M. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)1 : 2
16Midon L.Gaubas V. (2)1 : 2

1/8-finals
1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Masur D.2 : 0
2Negritu Ch.Den Ouden G. (6)1 : 2
3Kym J. (4)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
4Nagal S.McDonald N.1 : 2
5Choinski J. (5)Popko D.2 : 1
6Skatov T.Hanfmann Y. (3)1 : 2
7Tabur C.Wallin O.0 : 2
8Schwaerzler J. J.Gaubas V. (2)0 : 2

Quarter-finals
1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Den Ouden G. (6)1 : 2
2Kym J. (4)McDonald N.2 : 1
3Choinski J. (5)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
4Wallin O.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

Semi-finals
1Den Ouden G. (6)Kym J. (4)2 : 0
2Hanfmann Y. (3)Wallin O.2 : 0

Final
1Den Ouden G. (6)Hanfmann Y. (3)1 : 2