Mariano Kestelboim vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hagen Challenger Men Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler
Result
1:2
29/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
89
Double Faults
47
1st Serve Percentage
66%58%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (48/67)72% (41/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (17/34)57% (24/42)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/57)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (18/42)50% (17/34)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)33% (2/6)
Winners
3140
Unforced Errors
3449
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
64% (65/101)66% (65/99)
Return Points Won
34% (34/99)36% (36/101)
Total Points Won
50% (99/200)51% (101/200)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
30.6%
Joel Schwaerzler
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.2)

    1.34
    (1.31)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 395. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Schwaerzler is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Mikrut L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Engel J.Masur D. (WC)0 : 2
    3Blanch D. (LL)Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Villanueva G. (Q)Den Ouden G. (6)0 : 2
    5Kym J. (4)Coppejans K.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Cecchinato M. (Alt)0 : 2
    7Sanchez Jover C.Nagal S. (Alt)0 : 2
    8McDonald N. (WC)Rodionov J. (9)2 : 0
    9Choinski J. (5)Giustino L.2 : 1
    10Popko D.Matusevich A. (Q)2 : 1
    11Skatov T.Donski A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Hara Friend J. D. (CO)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
    13Hassan B. (8)Tabur C.0 : 2
    14Wallin O. (Q)Schoenhaus M. (WC)2 : 0
    15Kestelboim M. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)1 : 2
    16Midon L.Gaubas V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Masur D.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Den Ouden G. (6)1 : 2
    3Kym J. (4)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    4Nagal S.McDonald N.1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (5)Popko D.2 : 1
    6Skatov T.Hanfmann Y. (3)1 : 2
    7Tabur C.Wallin O.0 : 2
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Gaubas V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Den Ouden G. (6)1 : 2
    2Kym J. (4)McDonald N.2 : 1
    3Choinski J. (5)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
    4Wallin O.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (6)Kym J. (4)2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y. (3)Wallin O.2 : 0

    Final
    1Den Ouden G. (6)Hanfmann Y. (3)1 : 2