Mariano Navone vs Alexander Shevchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/02/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
65%70%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (23/31)59% (19/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (10/17)14% (2/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
41% (13/32)26% (8/31)
2nd Return Points Won
86% (12/14)41% (7/17)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
76% (29/38)50% (20/40)
Return Points Won
50% (20/40)24% (9/38)
Total Points Won
63% (49/78)37% (29/78)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
71.5%
Alexander Shevchenko
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.
  • Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.5)

    3.29
    (2.63)
    5.6%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 46. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 103.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Navone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2