Mariano Navone vs Alexander Shevchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/02/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
65%70%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (23/31)59% (19/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (10/17)14% (2/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
41% (13/32)26% (8/31)
2nd Return Points Won
86% (12/14)41% (7/17)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
76% (29/38)50% (20/40)
Return Points Won
50% (20/40)24% (9/38)
Total Points Won
63% (49/78)37% (29/78)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return Games Won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
71.5%
Alexander Shevchenko
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.
  • Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Shevchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.5)

    3.29
    (2.63)
    5.6%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Alexander Shevchenko?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 46. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 103.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Shevchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Navone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2