Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
81%57%
1st serve points won
50% (31/62)64% (27/42)
2nd serve points won
60% (9/15)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
5/104/7
1st return points won
36% (15/42)50% (31/62)
2nd return points won
53% (17/32)40% (6/15)
Break Points Converted
3/75/10
Winners
1420
Unforced errors
3739
Net points won
43% (3/7)68% (13/19)
Service Points Won
52% (40/77)57% (42/74)
Return Points Won
43% (32/74)48% (37/77)
Total Points Won
48% (72/151)52% (79/151)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
43.7%
Andrey Rublev
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 63.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Rublev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.32)

    1.69
    (1.59)
    5.1%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rublev will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 42. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
    • Navone is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Rublev has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T.
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2