Mariano Navone vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
60%60%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)63% (38/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)30% (12/40)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)60% (9/15)
1st Return Points Won
37% (22/60)30% (15/50)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (28/40)35% (12/34)
Break Points Converted
40% (6/15)50% (1/2)
Winners
1822
Unforced Errors
2066
Net Points Won
50% (3/6)62% (13/21)
Service Points Won
69% (58/84)50% (50/100)
Return Points Won
50% (50/100)31% (26/84)
Total Points Won
59% (108/184)41% (76/184)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)50% (6/12)
Return Games Won
50% (6/12)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
72% (18/25)28% (7/25)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
76.1%
Arthur Rinderknech
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.
  • Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.41)

    3.92
    (2.69)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 61. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Recent matches Navone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Rinderknech is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Navone is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2