Mariano Navone vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1

06/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats


Aces
2	2
Double Faults
1	3
1st Serve Percentage
60%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)	63% (38/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)	30% (12/40)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)	60% (9/15)
1st Return Points Won
37% (22/60)	30% (15/50)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (28/40)	35% (12/34)
Break Points Converted
40% (6/15)	50% (1/2)
Winners
18	22
Unforced Errors
20	66
Net Points Won
50% (3/6)	62% (13/21)
Service Points Won
69% (58/84)	50% (50/100)
Return Points Won
50% (50/100)	31% (26/84)
Total Points Won
59% (108/184)	41% (76/184)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)	50% (6/12)
Return Games Won
50% (6/12)	8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
72% (18/25)	28% (7/25)

Chances of winning

Mariano Navone
76.1%

Arthur Rinderknech
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)		3.92 ↑ (2.69)	7% (8.3%)

What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Navone is ranked ATP: 61. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 74.
Recent matches Navone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rinderknech is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Navone is a favorite.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

Latest results of Mariano Navone

05.04.2025 Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp Canceled ✺

03.04.2025 Marton Fucsovics - Mariano Navone 2:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Laslo Djere - Mariano Navone 1:2 ✺

20.03.2025 Lorenzo Sonego - Mariano Navone 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech

05.04.2025 Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech 0:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Jaume Munar 0:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka 1:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges 1:2 ✺

24.02.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Baez S.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Etcheverry T. M.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
4	Atmane T.	Quinn E. (LL)	2 : 0
5	Lehecka J. (11)	Nava E. (Q)	2 : 1
6	Fucsovics M.	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
7	Monfils G. (WC)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Bublik A. (8)
9	Musetti L. (4)	Bye
10	Vacherot V.	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Dzumhur D. (LL)	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
12	Hurkacz H. (PR)	Darderi L. (15)	2 : 1
13	Cobolli F. (10)	Comesana F. (Q)	2 : 1
14	Shapovalov D.	Blockx A. (Q)	1 : 2
15	Norrie C.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
18	Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)	Berrettini M. (WC)	0 : 0
19	Fonseca J.	Diallo G.	2 : 0
20	Rinderknech A.	Khachanov K. (12)	2 : 0
21	Rublev A. (13)	Borges N.	2 : 1
22	Bergs Z.	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
23	Garin C. (Q)	Arnaldi M. (LL)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Bye
26	Cilic M.	Shevchenko A. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Moutet C.	Muller A. (Q)	2 : 0
28	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (9)	0 : 2
29	Cerundolo F. (16)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
30	Altmaier D.	Machac T.	1 : 2
31	Kouame M. (WC)	Humbert U.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Baez S.	2 : 0
2	Etcheverry T. M.	Atmane T.	2 : 1
3	Lehecka J. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 1
4	Monfils G.	Bublik A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Musetti L. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2
6	Marozsan F.	Hurkacz H.	0 : 2
7	Cobolli F. (10)	Blockx A.	0 : 2
8	Norrie C.	De Minaur A. (5)	1 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (7)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
10	Fonseca J.	Rinderknech A.	2 : 1
11	Rublev A. (13)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
12	Garin C.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
14	Moutet C.	Ruud C. (9)	0 : 2
15	Cerundolo F. (16)	Machac T.	0 : 2
16	Humbert U.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 1
2	Lehecka J. (11)	Bublik A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Vacherot V.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 1
4	Blockx A.	De Minaur A. (5)	0 : 2
5	Berrettini M.	Fonseca J.	0 : 2
6	Bergs Z.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Ruud C. (RET.) (9)	1 : 0
8	Machac T.	Sinner J. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bublik A. (8)	2 : 0
2	Vacherot V.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 1
3	Fonseca J.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (6)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Vacherot V.	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Alcaraz C. (1)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2

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