Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
61%61%
1st serve points won
60% (24/40)58% (26/45)
2nd serve points won
65% (17/26)41% (12/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)44% (4/9)
1st return points won
44% (20/45)40% (16/40)
2nd return points won
59% (17/29)35% (9/26)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)33% (2/6)
Winners
1715
Unforced errors
2438
Net points won
83% (10/12)56% (10/18)
Service Points Won
62% (40/65)50% (37/74)
Return Points Won
50% (37/74)38% (25/65)
Total Points Won
55% (77/139)45% (62/139)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)50% (5/10)
Return games won
50% (5/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45.1%
Mariano Navone
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.88)

    1.76
    (1.88)
    4.6%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Navone will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mariano Navone will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 47. Navone is ranked ATP: 73.
    • Ugo Carabelli has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Navone has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Ugo Carabelli will win today's game, with odds of 2.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone 2:0
    25.10.2022 Mariano Navone - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0:2
    22.09.2022 Mariano Navone - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Dzumhur D.Dellien H. (Q)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    4Coria F. (WC)Berrettini M. (8)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Bye
    6Diaz Acosta F. (WC)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Djere L.2 : 0
    8Pellegrino A. (Q)Etcheverry T. M. (7)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Comesana F.2 : 0
    10Navone M.Nava E.2 : 0
    11Buse I.Passaro F. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeBaez S. (4)
    13Altmaier D. (5)Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    14Midon L. (Q)Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Barrios Vera T.Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL)0 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dellien H.2 : 0
    2Kopriva V.Berrettini M. (8)2 : 0
    3Fonseca J. (3)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    4Burruchaga R. A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Navone M.2 : 0
    6Buse I.Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Barrios Vera T.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    2Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    4Martinez P.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (2)2 : 0