Mariano Navone vs Christian Garin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Costa Do Sauipe Challenger Men Mariano Navone - Christian Garin
Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
76%49%
1st Serve Points Won
45% (30/67)57% (21/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (9/21)51% (20/39)
Break Points Saved
50% (7/14)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
43% (16/37)55% (37/67)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (19/39)57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)50% (7/14)
Service Points Won
44% (39/88)53% (39/74)
Return Points Won
47% (35/74)56% (49/88)
Total Points Won
46% (74/162)54% (88/162)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
30% (3/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)70% (7/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
62.1%
Christian Garin
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christian Garin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Christian Garin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.59)

    2.48
    (2.24)
    7.5%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 85. Garin is ranked ATP: 107.
    • Navone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Garin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Navone might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Habib H.2 : 0
    2Boscardin Dias P. (SE)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    3Miguel L. (WC)Collarini A. (Q)1 : 2
    4Olivieri G. A.Garin C. (6)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Barrena A.2 : 1
    6Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    7Gimenez I. (Q)Vallejo D. (SE)0 : 2
    8Pucinelli de Almeida M. (Q)Barrios Vera T. (7)2 : 1
    9Taberner C. (5)Villanueva G. (Q)2 : 1
    10Monteiro T.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    11Bueno G.Alves M. (Q)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Nava E. (3)0 : 2
    13Burruchaga R. A. (9)Schiessl J. E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Reis Da Silva J.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2
    15Gomez F. A.Heide G. (WC)1 : 2
    16Gima S. (Q)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0
    2Collarini A.Garin C. (6)1 : 2
    3Tirante T. A. (4)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    4Vallejo D.Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    5Taberner C. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    6Bueno G.Nava E. (3)0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A. (9)Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 1
    8Heide G.Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Navone M. (1)Garin C. (6)0 : 2
    2Tirante T. A. (4)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    3Prado Angelo J. C.Nava E. (3)2 : 0
    4Burruchaga R. A. (9)Cerundolo J. M. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (RET.) (6)Vallejo D.0 : 1
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Burruchaga R. A. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Vallejo D.Burruchaga R. A. (9)0 : 2