Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hangzhou Mariano Navone - Learner Tien
Result
1:2
17/09/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
56
1st Serve Percentage
58%62%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (32/49)65% (41/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (18/35)59% (23/39)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/63)35% (17/49)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (16/39)49% (17/35)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)71% (5/7)
Winners
1420
Unforced Errors
1714
Net Points Won
56% (5/9)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
60% (50/84)63% (64/102)
Return Points Won
37% (38/102)40% (34/84)
Total Points Won
47% (88/186)53% (98/186)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
45% (14/31)55% (17/31)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
38%
Learner Tien
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Mariano Navone - Learner Tien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.29)

    1.54
    (1.63)
    6%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Learner Tien?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 82. Tien is ranked ATP: 54.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tien will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Learner Tien were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Mariano Navone - Learner Tien 2:0
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Kovacevic A.Royer V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Zeppieri G. (Q)Sun F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Navone M.Tien L. (7)1 : 2
    5Moutet C. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    7Dzumhur D.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    8Hijikata R. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C. (5)2 : 0
    9Berrettini M. (8)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    10Bu Y.Zhang Z. (WC)1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Goffin D.2 : 1
    12ByeBublik A. (3)
    13Mannarino A. (6)Wu Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Walton A.Korda S.0 : 2
    15Basavareddy N. (Q)Cilic M.2 : 1
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Royer V.0 : 2
    2Zeppieri G.Tien L. (7)0 : 2
    3Moutet C. (4)Cazaux A.2 : 1
    4Etcheverry T. M.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    5Svrcina D.Zhang Z.2 : 0
    6Vukic A.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Y.Korda S.2 : 1
    8Basavareddy N.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Royer V.Tien L. (7)2 : 1
    2Moutet C. (4)Etcheverry T. M. (RET.)0 : 1
    3Svrcina D.Bublik A. (3)0 : 2
    4Wu Y.Medvedev D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V.Moutet C. (4)2 : 0
    2Bublik A. (3)Wu Y.2 : 0

    Final
    1Royer V.Bublik A. (3)0 : 2