Lorenzo Sonego vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/03/2025 at 16:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
55%49%
1st Serve Points Won
88% (35/40)72% (28/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (18/33)53% (21/40)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
31% (12/39)20% (8/40)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (19/40)45% (15/33)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)25% (1/4)
Winners
238
Unforced Errors
3929
Net Points Won
67% (10/15)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
72% (51/71)62% (48/78)
Return Points Won
38% (30/78)28% (20/71)
Total Points Won
54% (81/149)46% (68/149)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
92% (11/12)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)8% (1/12)
Total Games Won
58% (14/24)42% (10/24)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
63.9%
Mariano Navone
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.3)

    2.63
    (3.57)
    5.4%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Navone will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 67.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 38. Navone is ranked ATP: 62.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sonego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Sonego - Mariano Navone were as follows:
    01.07.2024 Mariano Navone - Lorenzo Sonego 0:3
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    2026

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Watanuki Y.Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3van Assche L. (13)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24