Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
63%53%
1st serve points won
64% (35/55)74% (39/53)
2nd serve points won
34% (11/32)45% (21/47)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)69% (9/13)
1st return points won
28% (15/53)40% (22/55)
2nd return points won
55% (26/47)66% (21/32)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)45% (5/11)
Winners
1916
Unforced errors
4540
Net points won
92% (12/13)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
53% (45/85)59% (58/98)
Return Points Won
41% (40/98)47% (40/85)
Total Points Won
46% (85/183)54% (98/183)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
64% (9/14)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)36% (5/14)
Total games won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
34%
Luciano Darderi
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 74.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.98)

    1.44
    (1.4)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Darderi will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 73.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 77. Darderi is ranked ATP: 21.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navone won 3.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Darderi is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Navone won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone Canceled
    24.09.2024 Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi 2:0
    10.05.2024 Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone 2:0
    04.05.2024 Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone 0:2
    15.04.2024 Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone 0:2
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2