Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 53% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 74% (39/53) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 45% (21/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (15/53) | 40% (22/55) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 66% (21/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 45% (5/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (45/85) | 59% (58/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (40/98) | 47% (40/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (85/183) | 54% (98/183) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 54% (15/28) |
Chances of winning
Mariano Navone 34% | Luciano Darderi 66% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.8 ↓ (2.98) |
|
1.44 ↑ (1.4) |
5.3% (5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Darderi will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 73.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Navone is ranked ATP: 77. Darderi is ranked ATP: 21.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navone won 3.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Darderi is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Navone won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mariano Navone won against Luciano Darderi?
Mariano Navone has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Mariano Navone?
Luciano Darderi has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
04.11.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Mariano Navone
Canceled
24.09.2024
Mariano Navone
-
Luciano Darderi
2:0
10.05.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Mariano Navone
2:0
04.05.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Mariano Navone
0:2
15.04.2024
Luciano Darderi
-
Mariano Navone
0:2
Latest results of Mariano Navone
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (RET.) (WC) | Vallejo D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nava E. | Berrettini M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (WC) | Prizmic D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Soto M. (WC) | Gaubas V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tabilo A. (8) | Barrios Vera T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cerundolo J. M. | Garin C. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Barrena A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Kopriva V. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vallejo D. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Baez S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Comesana F. (7) | Pellegrino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Navone M. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Gaubas V. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (8) | Baez S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |