Mariano Navone vs Marcos Giron – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron
Result
2:3
24/08/2025 at 17:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicHBO Max
denmarkDenmarkHBO Max
finlandFinlandHBO Max
franceFranceHBO Max
hungaryHungaryHBO Max
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayHBO Max
polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
115
1st Serve Percentage
61%56%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (56/95)67% (64/96)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (29/60)53% (40/76)
Break Points Saved
44% (7/16)65% (11/17)
1st Return Points Won
33% (32/96)41% (39/95)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (36/76)52% (31/60)
Break Points Converted
35% (6/17)56% (9/16)
Winners
4441
Unforced Errors
5545
Net Points Won
61% (11/18)68% (26/38)
Service Points Won
55% (85/155)60% (103/171)
Return Points Won
40% (68/171)45% (70/155)
Total Points Won
47% (153/326)53% (173/326)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
64% (16/25)76% (19/25)
Return Games Won
24% (6/25)36% (9/25)
Total Games Won
44% (22/50)56% (28/50)
Distance Covered (metres)
44694509

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
52.7%
Marcos Giron
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.67)

    2.02
    (2.2)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Giron will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Giron (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 74. Giron is ranked ATP: 55.
    • In recent matches, Navone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Giron is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron 2:0
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Marcos Giron