Mariano Navone vs Nick Hardt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/03/2026 at 21:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
63%60%
1st serve points won
65% (36/55)56% (32/57)
2nd serve points won
63% (20/32)50% (19/38)
Break Points Saved
2/49/15
1st return points won
46% (26/57)35% (19/55)
2nd return points won
50% (19/38)38% (12/32)
Break Points Converted
6/152/4
Winners
2524
Unforced errors
3551
Net points won
60% (12/20)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
65% (55/85)54% (51/95)
Return Points Won
46% (44/95)35% (30/85)
Total Points Won
55% (99/180)45% (81/180)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
86% (12/14)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)14% (2/14)
Total games won
64% (18/28)36% (10/28)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
80.2%
Nick Hardt
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.9% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Mariano Navone - Nick Hardt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.16)

    4.78
    (4.61)
    6.5%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 79. Hardt is ranked ATP: 612.
    • Navone is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hardt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Navone is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Hardt will win today's game, with odds of 4.86.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Nick Hardt
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)