Mariano Navone vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/02/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
64%64%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (29/39)56% (20/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (8/22)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)17% (1/6)
1st Return Points Won
44% (16/36)28% (11/39)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)64% (14/22)
Break Points Converted
83% (5/6)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
61% (37/61)51% (28/55)
Return Points Won
49% (27/55)39% (24/61)
Total Points Won
55% (64/116)45% (52/116)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
61.7%
Roberto Carballes Baena
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.64)

    2.48
    (2.27)
    5.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.74%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 47. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 50.
    • Recent matches Navone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carballes Baena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Navone will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Navone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
    06.02.2024 Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena 1:2
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2