Mariano Navone vs Sebastian Ofner – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Mallorca Mariano Navone - Sebastian Ofner
Result
Ofner S. retired
21/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
59
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
59%52%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (37/50)70% (33/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (20/35)55% (24/44)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
30% (14/47)26% (13/50)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (20/44)43% (15/35)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)33% (1/3)
Winners
1827
Unforced Errors
1741
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)50% (9/18)
Service Points Won
67% (57/85)63% (57/91)
Return Points Won
37% (34/91)33% (28/85)
Total Points Won
52% (91/176)48% (85/176)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
21%
Sebastian Ofner
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mariano Navone - Sebastian Ofner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.49
    (3.23)

    1.19
    (1.34)
    6.3%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Sebastian Ofner?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ofner will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 90. Ofner is ranked ATP: 122.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ofner is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Tien L.Engel J. (WC)2 : 0
    3Martinez P.Moutet C.1 : 2
    4Fognini F. (WC)Altmaier D. (8)1 : 2
    5Michelsen A. (3)Bye
    6Bonzi B.Holt B. (Q)1 : 2
    7Tomic B. (Q)Hijikata R. (WC)2 : 1
    8Etcheverry T. M.Bautista-Agut R. (7)1 : 2
    9Diallo G. (6)Munar J.2 : 0
    10Bu Y.Djere L.0 : 2
    11Ugo Carabelli C.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeGriekspoor T. (4)
    13Muller A. (5)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    14Basavareddy N. (Q)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    15Dzumhur D.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    16ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tien L.0 : 2
    2Moutet C.Altmaier D. (8)2 : 0
    3Michelsen A. (3)Holt B.2 : 0
    4Tomic B.Bautista-Agut R. (7)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (6)Djere L.2 : 1
    6Quinn E.Griekspoor T. (4)0 : 2
    7Safiullin R.Medjedovic H.1 : 2
    8Rinderknech A.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tien L.Moutet C.0 : 2
    2Michelsen A. (3)Bautista-Agut R. (7)2 : 0
    3Diallo G. (6)Griekspoor T. (4)0 : 2
    4Medjedovic H.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C.Michelsen A. (3)2 : 0
    2Griekspoor T. (4)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Moutet C.Griekspoor T. (4)0 : 2