Mariano Navone vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/03/2026 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
73%71%
1st serve points won
66% (29/44)53% (25/47)
2nd serve points won
56% (9/16)63% (12/19)
Break Points Saved
2/55/10
1st return points won
49% (23/47)34% (15/44)
2nd return points won
37% (7/19)44% (7/16)
Break Points Converted
5/103/5
Winners
1218
Unforced errors
2044
Net points won
100% (1/1)67% (22/33)
Service Points Won
63% (38/60)55% (36/66)
Return Points Won
45% (30/66)37% (22/60)
Total Points Won
54% (68/126)46% (58/126)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
73% (8/11)55% (6/11)
Return games won
45% (5/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
59.9%
Shintaro Mochizuki
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.66)

    2.32
    (2.1)
    7%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 50%). Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 79. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    02.05.2024 Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki 2:1
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2