Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Prva liga - Round 10
- Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Kovacevic F. ⚽, Lisakovich V. (A),
- 15', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
- 18', Sirvys P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Jevsenak F. 🟨,
- 58', Lisakovich V. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
- 58', Jevsenak F. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
- 59', Mbina O. ↓, Tetteh B. ↑,
- 60', Pejicic D. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
- 73', Ojo S. ↓, Repas Z. ↑,
- 77', Kvesic M. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
- 77', Kovacevic F. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
- 82', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Vuklisevic D. ↑,
- 86', Viher N. ↓, Reghba A. ↑,
- 86', Sikosek G. ↓, Tshipamba I. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 0, Poplatnik M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Celje
66.1% | Draw
19.2% | Maribor
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje's performance.Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maribor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maribor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Celje - Maribor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.84) |
4.94 ↑
(3.82) |
6.44 ↑
(3.68) |
5.5%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Celje - Maribor?
Users Predictions:
Celje will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celje won 3.
- Celje is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Maribor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Maribor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Celje has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Celje is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Celje will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celje won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Celje won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Maribor?
Celje has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maribor won against Celje?
Maribor has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Maribor were as follows:
20.07.2025
Maribor
-
Celje
1:2
07.05.2025
Maribor
-
Celje
1:1
02.04.2025
Maribor
-
Celje
0:1
08.02.2025
Celje
-
Maribor
1:2
06.10.2024
Maribor
-
Celje
1:2
Latest results of Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celje | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 33:9 | 24 | 28 |
| 2 | Bravo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Koper | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Maribor | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | O. Ljubljana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Aluminij | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Radomlje | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 13 |
| 8 | Primorje | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Mura | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Domzale | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. SNL
