Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Slovenian PrvaLiga Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Prva liga - Round 33
  • Referee: Bubek A. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 6
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
81
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
53
Corner Kicks
81
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1225
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Kojic D. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Celhaka J. (Own goal),
  • 19', Rekik O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Grlic N. , Meriluoto K. ,
  • 50', Repas J. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Meriluoto K. , Soudani El A. (A),
  • 61', Boultam R. , Brest M. ,
  • 61', Kojic D. , Thalisson ,
  • 63', Tamm A. 🟨,
  • 67', Florucz R. 🟨,
  • 70', Soudani El A. , Reghba A. ,
  • 80', Tamm A. , Durdov I. ,
  • 80', Sualehe D. , Lasickas J. ,
  • 80', Tetteh B. , Elmaz B. ,
  • 84', Reghba A. 🟨,
  • 88', Jug A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ilicic J. , Viher N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Olimpija Ljubljana
46.3%
Draw
29.1%
Maribor
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 28.7% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 31.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.85)
    3.19
    (3.23)
    3.78
    (4.33)
    7.8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor?
  • Users Predictions: Olimpija Ljubljana will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Olimpija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Maribor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Olimpija is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpija won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana 1:0
    10.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor 0:0
    25.08.2024 Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana 1:1
    11.05.2024 Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana 2:1
    17.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor 1:2
    Latest results of Olimpija Ljubljana
    Latest results of Maribor
    26.04.2025 Maribor - Radomlje 4:0
    21.04.2025 Mura - Maribor 1:2
    16.04.2025 Nafta - Maribor 1:1
    13.04.2025 NK Bravo - Maribor 1:1
    06.04.2025 Domžale - Maribor 1:0
    Slovenian PrvaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O. Ljubljana22004:046
    2Bravo32016:336
    3Koper22004:136
    4Celje22004:136
    5Aluminij31113:5-24
    6Maribor21013:303
    7Radomlje31023:4-13
    8Primorje31024:7-33
    9Mura30121:4-31
    10Domzale30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Prva liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. SNL