Maricá U20 vs Nova Iguaçu U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
20/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (4 - 1)

Chances of winning


Maricá U20
30.9%
Draw
29.8%
Nova Iguaçu U20
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 28.7% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 28.3% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maricá U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Nova Iguaçu U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Maricá U20 aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu U20 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Maricá U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.89)
    3.05
    (3.15)
    2.31
    (2.26)
    10.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent form of Maricá U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nova Iguaçu U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Maricá U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Maricá U20
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu U20
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Vasco U20 (1)Portuguesa RJ U20 (8)4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Fluminense U20 (4)Volta Redonda U20 (5)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Flamengo RJ U20 (2)Marica U20 (7)4 : 0, 3 : 0
    4Botafogo U20 (3)Bangu U20 (6)2 : 0, 3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vasco U20 (1)Fluminense U20 (4)2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Flamengo RJ U20 (2)Botafogo U20 (3)1 : 2, 0 : 3

    Final
    1Vasco U20 (1)Botafogo U20 (3)0 : 1, 1 : 1