Result
1:1
09/02/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 9
- Referee: da Silva Goncalves F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Goal Attempts |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 4 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Fouls |
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15 | 18 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Passes |
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79% (310/391) | 70% (184/264) |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Ronald Bele ↓, Ruan Carlos ↑,
- 36', Vitinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tavares J. ↓, Jonathan Chula ↑,
- 46', Marcelinho ↓, Heltton ↑,
- 46', Bruninho ↓, Hugo Borges ↑,
- 56', Vitinho ↓, Macario ↑,
- 56', Luke Nathan ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
- 61', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 64', Jonathan Chula 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 1, Joao Felipe ⚽,
- 74', Joao Vitor ↓, Gutemberg ↑,
- 75', Mizael Monteiro ↓, Sergio Mendonca ↑,
- 82', Leo Guerra 🟨,
- 86', Leo Guerra ↓, Vinicius ↑,
- 86', Alex Moretti ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 90+1', Vinicius Matheus 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Sergio Mendonca ⚽, Almir Silva (A),
Chances of winning
Maricá 51.2% | Draw 28.6% | Bangu 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maricá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Maricá - Bangu Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.66) |
3.25 ↓ (3.55) |
4.6 ↓ (5.15) |
7.7% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca 2).
- Both teams are in bad shape now.
- Bangu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Maricá is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Maricá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
- Including matches at home between the teams Maricá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
How many head-to-head matches has Maricá won against Bangu?
Maricá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bangu won against Maricá?
Bangu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maricá - Bangu were as follows:
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsSemi-finals1 | Flamengo RJ | Vasco | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
2 | Volta Redonda | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
Final1 | Flamengo RJ | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |